Kevin Kisner, Si Woo Kim Headline 8 Outright Bets at Harbor Town

Click arrow to expand 2022 RBC Heritage odds via BetMGM

2022 RBC Heritage Odds

Golfer Odds
Justin Thomas +1200
Cameron Smith +1400
Collin Morikawa +1400
Dustin Johnson +1800
Patrick Cantlay +2000
Matt Fitzpatrick +2200
Shane Lowry +2200
Corey Conners +2500
Daniel Berger +2800
Joaquin Niemann +3300
Sungjae Im +3300
Webb Simpson +3300
Russell Henley +3500
Billy Horschel +4000
Jordan Spieth +4000
Tyrrell Hatton +4000
Alex Noren +4000
Kevin Kisner +4000
Matt Kuchar +4000
Tommy Fleetwood +4000
Adam Hadwin +5000
Chris Kirk +5000
Kevin Na +5000
Maverick McNealy +5000
Yes Woo Kim +5000
Brian Harman +5000
Harold Varner III +5000
Kevin Streelman +6600
Myth Pereira +6600
Jason Kokrak +6600
JJ Spaun +6600
Tom Hoge +6600
Cameron Young +8000
Charles Howell III +8000
Dylan Frittelli +8000
Denny McCarthy +8000
Erik van Rooyen +8000
Ian Poulter +8000
Russell Knox +8000
Aaron Wise +10000
Anirban Lahiri +10000
Cameron Tringale +10000
Danny Willett +10000
Luke List +10000
Sahith Theegala +10000
Scott Stallings +10000
Sebastian Munoz +10000
Sepp Straka +10000
Troy Merritt +10000
Beau Hossler +10000
Brendon Todd +10000
Davis Riley +10000
Patton Kizzire +10000
Stewart Cink +10000
Brandt Snedeker +12500
CT Pan +12500
Carlos Ortiz +12500
Chad Ramey +12500
Charl Schwartzel +12500
Charley Hoffman +12500
Doug Ghim +12500
Joel Dahmen +12500
Lucas Glover +12500
Nate Lashley +12500
Rickie Fowler +12500
Zach Johnson +12500
Branden Grace +15000
Brian Stuard +15000
Cam Davis +15000
Emiliano Grillo +15000
Harry Higgs +15000
JT Poston +15000
KH Lee +15000
Lanto Griffin +15000
Mackenzie Hughes +15000
Matthew NeSmith +15000
Adam Long +15000
Henrik Stenson +15000
Michael Thompson +15000
Pat Perez +15000
Alex Smalley +20000
Brice Garnett +20000
Chez Reavie +20000
Doc Redman +20000
Hudson Swafford +20000
Kramer Hickok +20000
Nick Taylor +20000
Adam Svensson +20000
Andrew Putnam +20000
Luke Donald +20000
Satoshi Kodaira +20000
Takumi Kanaya +20000
Bill Haas +25000
Danny Lee +25000
Garrick Higgo +25000
Graeme McDowell +25000
Robert Streb +25000
Sam Ryder +25000
Wesley Bryan +25000
Adam Schenk +30000
Bryson Nimmer +30000
Camilo Villegas +30000
Hank Lebioda +30000
Jim Furyk +30000
Richy Werenski +30000
Scott Piercy +30000
Tyler Duncan +30000
Joseph Bramlett +30000
Ben Martin +35000
Brian Gay +35000
Chesson Hadley +35000
Henrik Norlander +35000
Nick Watney +35000
Peter Malnati +35000
Roger Sloan +35000
Sung Kang +35000
Wyndham Clark +35000
Brandon Hagy +40000
James Hahn +40000
Jim Herman +40000
Jonathan Byrd +40000
Kevin Tway +40000
Michael Gligic +40000
Ryan Brehm +40000
Scott Brown +40000
Stephan Jaeger +40000
William McGirt +40000
Martin Trainer +50000
Morgan Hoffmann +60000
Davis Love III +75000
James Piot +100000
Morgan Deneen +100000

The No. 1 player in the world continued his heater with a quite comfortable win at Augusta.

Scottie Scheffler has now played in seven majors since gaining his PGA TOUR card and his worst finish is 19th, so he’s probably going to be hanging around on these major leaderboards for the foreseeable future.

Now we turn our attention to one of the more enjoyable betting events on the calendar, the RBC Heritage. Harbor Town negates distance as much as anywhere and couple that with all the stars primed for a letdown following The Masters and we usually can find some decent value here.

The Course

The Pete Dye-designed Harbor Town is a par-71 checking in at around 7,100 yards. It has the smallest greens on TOUR, so iron play will be even more important than usual. But even the best iron players will struggle at times so scrambling also plays a bigger role than the standard TOUR stop.

Wind is one of the primary defenses at this seaside South Carolina course, so you can expect some pretty difficult scoring conditions if things get blustery.

Stewart Cink, Jim Furyk and Boo Weekley have won here multiple times, while players like Webb Simpson, Matt Kuchar and Brandt Snedeker have also notched a victory. None are really known for distance, but all have been elite iron players or scramblers during the time of their title.

The Favorites

As of now, we’ve got a pretty strong field for this event. We’ll see how many of them actually show up after a grueling Masters week.

Justin Thomas opens as the favorite at +1200 off a top-10 finish at the Masters, he was eighth in his last appearance here in 2020. It’s a course that will play to his strengths on approach. The driver let him down at Augusta, but with that not near as much of a concern here, the rest of the game is set to contend.

Collin Morikawa and Cameron Smith are next at +1400, two more guys who are fresh off strong weeks at a major. That means it’ll comes down here to where they are mentally. Either withdrawing wouldn’t surprise me since both are also set to play in the team event in New Orleans next week, with Smith set to defend there.

Dustin Johnson comes is at +1600. He’s been a regular in his home state’s event for the past five years now. He’s never really contended, but he never really plays poorly. He doesn’t have a top 10 in the past four years but he also has no finish worse than 30th either.

Patrick Cantlay is here at +1800 and another guy I wouldn’t be surprised to see withdraw since he’s set for the team event, as well. Cantlay is the first guy of the bunch who really never looked good at the Masters, eventually finishing 39th. He’s played really well here however with a couple of third place finishes in his four starts.

Matthew Fitzpatrick, Shane Lowry, Daniel Berger, Webb Simpson and Corey Conners all make up that + 2000s tier and all should be good fits for this place. Webb won it two years ago. Fitzpatrick has said multiple times this is his favorite spot on TOUR. Lowry is in form and has two top 10s in the last three years. Berger was third in 2020, and Conners was fourth last year.

The Mid-Tier

The books have given us a lot of options with how strong this field is. Many of our favorite types of players have come in with reasonable odds.

I’ll start with Kevin Kisner at +5500 on DraftKings. Kisner has said there are spots where he can contend and spots where he can’t. This is one of the events he can win. He lost in a playoff to Furyk here in 2015 and was in contention again in 2018 before sliding on Sunday. The form is solid right now. He reached the match play final and was fourth at the PLAYERS on other Pete Dye courses. His approach di lui was in good shape after the week at Augusta as well where he gained over a stroke per round on that field.

We’ll also take Kevin Na here at +5500 on BetRivers. Na will be a very popular play off a strong week at Augusta. He looked solid at match play and was good on approach last week. His history di lui here is checked but he does have three top 10s in the last 10 years, so when he’s playing well, it’s been a good spot for him.

We’ll also go here with Yes Woo Kim at +6500 on DraftKings. Si Woo has played well before here. He looked like he’d come out on top in 2018, but the putter failed him late and he lost to Satoshi Kodaira in a playoff. The form has been solid all year and he’s been racking up top 20 finishes.

I’ll go with Adam Hadwin here at +6600 on BetRivers. Hadwin is more of form play. I think he should fit this course but in six years, he’s never recorded a top 20. He’s playing great at the moment though with three straight top 10s, so I’ll take a chance at this number his form continues.

I’m also backing Myth Pereira here at +9000 on PointsBet. He’s been trending well the past few weeks. He’s finished in the top 30 in four of his last five starts. The ball striking has been solid for the most part and the short game has shown glimpse of improvement recently. It’s his debut di lui here, but that hasn’t slowed down players in the past. Kodaira and Wes Bryan both won in their first appearance during the past few seasons.

The Longshots

I’ll start here with Brian Harman at 100-1 on DraftKings. He’s been playing well and has a decent record here for success. He missed the cut on the number at Augusta on a course that doesn’t suit him at all. But prior to that, he’d been inside the top 15 in three of his last seven starts. He’s also finished inside the top 10 here on a couple of occasions and was 13th a year ago.

I’ll go with one of my usuals here in Davis Riley at 175-1 on PointsBet. Riley was in the Valspar playoff recently and as we saw there, he gets in the most trouble when he completely sprays the driver and brings a big number into play. This course forces a more conservative approach off the tee which could line up with his strengths by him.

I’m also going with Takumi Kanaya here at 250-1 on FanDuel. Kanaya missed the cut on the number at Augusta, but did gain ground with the irons that week. He also played well enough at another Pete Dye course in Austin to get out of his match play group. This course is similar in ways to what players are used to seeing in Japan. It’s shorter and tight with the emphasis on precision over power. It suited Kodaira’s eye, and Kanaya is a bigger talent who already has three wins over there at the age of 23.

It’s a much deeper card than normal this week because of the comfort we have on this course. It produces the same type of winners each year and we’re getting a lot of guys that fit that mold and solid prices with so many big names scheduled to appear.

The RBC Heritage Card

  • Kevin Kisner +5500 (.6 units)
  • Kevin Na +5500 (.47 units)
  • Si Woo Kim +6500 (.5 units)
  • Adam Hadwin +6600 (.5 units)
  • Mito Pereira +9000 (.36 units)
  • Brian Harman +10000 (.33 units)
  • Davis Riley +18000 (.17 units)
  • Takumi Kanaya +25000 (.13 units)

Total Stake: 3.06 units

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